C = 4m + 3v + 2(i−f) − 2a ◆ C = 4m + 3v + 2(i−f) − 2a ◆ C = 4m + 3v + 2(i−f) − 2a ◆CONVERSION FOCUSEDDECISION SCIENCEMECLABSINSTITUTE

MECLABS AI · Research Lab

The New Economics
(and Philosophy) of Value
in the AI Era

Why the sequence of thought — not the page, not the product — determines what the customer believes.

Flint McGlaughlin
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Opening Study

Does a picture make a claim more credible?

Journal paper: Seeing is believing — the effect of brain images on judgments of scientific reasoning, by David P. McCabe and Alan D. Castel

McCabe & Castel, Cognition 107 (2008)

A real journal abstract was shown to readers in three formats. Their task: rate how scientifically sound the reasoning seemed.

01Same article, three presentations
02One rating: scientific credibility
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?

Critical Question

How do we communicate valuein the age of AI?

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Make Your Pick

Which one read as most credible?

Select the version you believe participants rated as most scientifically credible.

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The Result

“The scientific reasoning in the article made sense.”

156 readers rated the identical article. One version won by a reliable margin.

McCabe & Castel, “Seeing is believing,” Cognition 107 (2008) 343–352, Fig. 1b.

Text onlyVersion 1
Bar graphVersion 2
48%
?
Brain imageVersion 3
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Back to the Study

Then we asked the machine.

We gave a large language model the same task the humans had — rank the three versions by scientific credibility. It reached the opposite conclusion.

AIChatGPT

“The original at least presents the study in a way that corresponds to the evidence described. The other two add visual elements that appear to imply additional scientific measurements that are not actually reported — they make the presentation more persuasive-looking while making it less trustworthy.”

3/5
?
Original abstract
2/5
?
Bar-chart version
1.5/5
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Brain-image version

Humans trusted the brain image. The machine did the opposite.

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Key Principle

You must engineer your offer valuefor two evaluators: the human and the machine.
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The Opening Question

Which version won?

Same offer. Same price. Same traffic. Two very different ways of asking for the click.

A
Version A preview
B
Version B preview
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MECLABS Research Institute

Test Protocol

MECLABS Institute, Customer-First Science

Doc. TP1635 · Rev. A

Experiment IDTP1635A/B variable cluster
Research partnerIndependent bloggerWordPress / iReach press release offer
Test objectiveClickthrough to the product pagePrimary KPI
Offer price$89 — held constantControl and treatment identical
Traffic sourceUnchangedNo media spend added
Variable testedSequence of thought in the copyMessage, not design or price

Documented outcome

Sealed
Control
Treatment

Measured, not revealed

Result sealed.

Disclosed in the final exhibit

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The Two Treatments

What the blogger actually saw

CControl
Control page: WordPress.com banner reading Drive More Traffic to Your Blog, above a $89 distribution offer

Leads with the brand. The offer arrives before the reason to want it.

TTreatment
Treatment page: headline Get More Readers as Early as Tomorrow, with three benefit points and a Daily Visits chart

Leads with the outcome. The price is the last thing you read.

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Treatment / Anatomy

Treatment page in full: Get More Readers as Early as Tomorrow, three benefit points, Daily Visits chart, and a Get Started button
01

A headline about them

“Get More Readers as Early as Tomorrow.” The value proposition replaces the logo.

02

Proof before the ask

Three specific claims and a visits chart answer “why should I believe you?” first.

03

Price as relief

$89 arrives after the value is established — framed as 70% off $299.

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MECLABS Research Institute — Test Protocol TP1635

Results addendum: the reveal

Doc. TP1635 · Rev. B — Final exhibit

Daily conversion rate, indexed. Traced from the original results chart.

MECLABS Institute, Customer-First Science
Documented outcome — disclosed

+321%

Customer insight

Clarifying the thought sequence drove a 321% relative increase in conversion.

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Key Principle

You need to win the emotion from the human.You need to win the condition from the machine.
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Conversion Heuristic

C = 4M + 3V + 2(I − F) − 2A

Human emotion meets machine condition.

Machine condition
Question the condition answers
m→MMission Match

Does this candidate fit the query, the user's intent, the constraints, and the system objective?

v→VVerifiable Superior Value

Is this option demonstrably more helpful for this user than the available alternatives?

i→IIncremental Decision Utility

Does including or recommending this now materially improve the user's decision?

f→FInference Friction

How much work is required to find, interpret, compare, verify, cite, and explain this option?

a→AAnswer Risk

What is the likelihood and consequence of this recommendation being wrong?

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Before & After · Aetna’s HealthSpire15 / 24
TP1635MECLABS AI
Lead gen · Protocol 90343

638%

Increase in qualified leads

Testing perceived value on a landing page

What transferred · Case 1 of 8

Prospects found more value — and were more motivated to call — when the page detailed who they would actually be speaking with.

Before · Control
Aetna’s HealthSpire Before · Control
After · Treatment
Aetna’s HealthSpire After · Treatment
Before & After · Toll Brothers16 / 24
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Lead gen · Protocol 11221

166.5%

Increase in lead gen · 0.85% → 2.27%

Testing reduced friction on lead capture pages

What transferred · Case 2 of 8

Putting the form directly on the page and deleting the step that followed it removed friction and lifted lead rate.

Before · Control
Toll Brothers Before · Control
After · Treatment
Toll Brothers After · Treatment
Before & After · Fluke17 / 24
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Lead gen · Protocol 11441

96.28%

Increase in lead gen · 3.06% → 6.01%

Testing reduced friction and clarifying incentive value

What transferred · Case 3 of 8

Reducing form friction and stating plainly what the incentive was worth nearly doubled completion — and lifted incentive downloads 169%.

Before · Control
Fluke Before · Control
After · Treatment
Fluke After · Treatment
Before & After · The New York Times18 / 24
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Subscription · Protocol 10602

1,600

Sales-ready leads captured monthly

Testing a multi-step subscription funnel

What transferred · Case 4 of 8

More steps, not fewer: breaking the funnel up simplified each step, and capturing email early created a recovery channel worth 1,600 leads a month.

Before · Control
The New York Times Before · Control
After · Treatment
The New York Times After · Treatment
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Subscription · Protocol 11022

202.52%

Increase in memberships · 12.53% → 37.91%

Reducing friction and clarifying membership value

What transferred · Case 5 of 8

Clarifying what the membership was worth, while stripping the application down, tripled completion — a projected $3,848,075 over twelve months.

Before · Control
PR Newswire Before · Control
After · Treatment
PR Newswire After · Treatment
Before & After · CBS Sports20 / 24
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Subscription · Protocol 18279

45.5%

Increase in clickthrough

Iterative testing achieves cumulative lifts

What transferred · Case 6 of 8

Six months of iteration across Free, Commissioner and Premium games — every lift held at a 95% minimum level of confidence.

Before · Control
CBS Sports Before · Control
After · Treatment
CBS Sports After · Treatment
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Ecommerce · Protocol 12314

752.89%

Increase in clickthrough · 0.05% → 4.40%

Testing eye path on a gridwall

What transferred · Case 7 of 8

A “Read Reviews” link, placed in the middle of the pod, clarified that reviews were even available. Every treatment using that placement beat its counterpart.

Before · Control
Verizon Before · Control
After · Treatment
Verizon After · Treatment
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Ecommerce · Protocol 16934

$3.1M

Projected annual revenue · 8.8% lift in reservations

Testing reduced friction in a subscription funnel

What transferred · Case 8 of 8

A progress bar that outlined the reservation process reduced friction and answered anxiety — the reservation was not a final commitment.

Before · Control
CubeSmart Before · Control
After · Treatment
CubeSmart After · Treatment

Conversion Heuristic

C = 4M + 3V + 2(I − F) − 2A

Human emotion meets machine condition.

Machine condition
Question the condition answers
m→MMission Match

Does this candidate fit the query, the user's intent, the constraints, and the system objective?

v→VVerifiable Superior Value

Is this option demonstrably more helpful for this user than the available alternatives?

i→IIncremental Decision Utility

Does including or recommending this now materially improve the user's decision?

f→FInference Friction

How much work is required to find, interpret, compare, verify, cite, and explain this option?

a→AAnswer Risk

What is the likelihood and consequence of this recommendation being wrong?

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Machine Condition

The FACTS Test

Machine asks
Maps to
Question the condition answers
FFit
Mission Match

Does it fit the user’s mission?

AAdvantage
Verifiable Superior Value

Is it demonstrably better than the alternatives?

CContribution
Incremental Decision Utility

Does it materially improve the decision?

TTask burden
Inference Friction

How much work is required to find, verify, and explain it?

SStakes
Answer Risk

How likely is it to be wrong — and what happens if it is?

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